Thursday, October 22, 2009


Colin Gray has a short article on security situation in the 21st century that I just read. It suggests the future will be characterized by the following:

  • Great power rivalry
  • Adverse climate change
  • Resource rivalries and shortages (food, water and energy)
  • Overpopulation
  • Disease pandemics
  • Jihadi terrorism and insurgencies
  • Nuclear proliferation
  • The "unknown unknowns" (the things to worry about if we know about them, for example, asteroids)...
  • "global economic meltdown"

That about sums it up!

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