Monday, November 26, 2007

Iraq: Designed to Fail

Feisal Istrabadi, Former Deputy Ambassador to Iraq, recently pointed out how the entire political system in Iraq, reinforces the divisions between Iraq's different religious and ethnic groups.

Fundamentally, [Iraq's political] parties ...posited themselves, on all sides, either as [ethnic] parties, which is what the Kurds did, or as confessional parties, sectarian parties, which is what the Arab Shia and Arab Sunni of Iraq did.

And these were the parties that unfortunately in the system that we inherited from the Bremer vice regency, these were the parties that were then elected.

And so, in a sense, they were -- each of these parties was elected based upon their differences. And so once they get to power, they find it very difficult to make the compromises necessary. And a lot of it is personal, and a lot of it is very petty... |In Iraq, Violence Falls but Political Gridlock Remains - Online Newshour|(emphasis added)
Now that's my definition of a clusterfuck.

There isn't going to be any political solution in the near term. The current political system is untenable and after the US leaves it will tear itself apart and something new will be established in its place.

Imperial Life in the Emerald City illuminates how the Bush administration's devotion to neo-conservative dogma over pragmatism assured that no lasting political order would be established in Iraq.

I really wish it were different, I want to see Iraq settle down and for the US to salvage some honor from this ordeal, but wishing doesn't make it so.

[Professor Hugh White, the head of Canberra's Strategic and Defence Studies Centre] says the US cannot win in Iraq, but nevertheless is unlikely to pull out.

"I think that's the tragedy of the American position," he said.

"I think they're in the situation where the scale of resources that America has available, and the nature of the problems that it needs to deal with, simply preclude the United States achieving the kind of outcome that we all hope that we could find in Iraq - a stable government that controls the whole territory that governs more or less justly in the interests of all Iraqis, and so on.

"That just seems to be, to me, beyond reach.

"And even though... there may be, as some reports suggest, short-term improvements in security, for example, I think the chances of that leading to a long-term political evolution that would achieve our long-term objectives is very low." |Coalition 'cannot win' in Iraq or Afghanistan - ABC News|

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