Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Why Partitioning Iraq Might be a Mistake

I've argued before that I think we ought to partition Iraq into three states. I know some very knowledgeable people oppose the idea, but the idea is gaining ground among the Democratic party.

I just read the following, which is the most cogent analysis I've read yet about why partitioning Iraq could lead to disaster.

Prince Turki al-Faisal, the Saudi ambassador, sees the consequences of partitioning Iraq: "To envision that you can divide Iraq into three parts is to envision ethnic cleansing on a massive scale, sectarian killing on a massive scale."

That would certainly mean the Saudis, Iranians, Turks and Syrians would be drawn into the conflict, aligning with various factions to protect their own interests, borders and security.

Knickmeyer cites the important analysis of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, a key figure in the region. He recently told "Der Spiegel," the German news magazine, "When the ethnic-religious break occurs in one country, it will not fail to occur elsewhere, too." The Syrian president concluded, "It would be as it was at the end of the Soviet Union, only much worse. Large wars, small wars -- no one would be able to get a grip on the consequences." |Niagra Falls Reporter|
Of course, human knowledge is always imperfect and sometimes you've gotta pick the devil or the deep blue sea. Lord knows our current strategy in Iraq is failing.

Thanks to Juan Cole for the link.

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